On the heels of learning there was in fact no collusion with Russia that propitiated President Donald Trump’s 2016 election, some experts are now saying Trump already has the 2020 election cinched.
Of course, according to Politico, it’s the country’s economic strength, not his absolution regarding the Russia collusion accusations, that are being credited for his expected success. Politico spoke with several economic experts who all agree President Trump’s work to improve America’s economy and the subsequent advancement of the nation’s financial state means Trump is sure to win in 2020, despite the Democratic Party’s best efforts.
What the Experts Say
Donald Luskin, the chief investment officer of TrendMacrolytics (a research firm that correctly predicted Trump’s 2016 win), says the economy is like a shield for Trump going into 2020.
“The economy is just so damn strong right now and by all historic precedent the incumbent should run away with it,” Luskin explained. “I just don’t see how the blue wall could resist all that.”
Ray Fair, a Yale economist, also believes President Trump will win by a decent margin in 2020.
“Even if you have a mediocre but not great economy — and that’s more or less consensus for between now and the election — that has a Trump victory and by a not-trivial margin,” he said.
Trump’s Critics Concede
Regular Trump critic and chief economist for Moody’s Analytics Mark Zandi says after testing dozens of different economic models for the 2020 presidential race, all 12 point to a comfortable Trump win.
“If the election were held today, Trump would win according to the models and pretty handily,” Zandi admitted. “In three or four of them it would be pretty close. He’s got low gas prices, low unemployment and a lot of other political variables at his back. The only exception is his popularity, which matters a lot. If that falls off a cliff it would make a big difference.”
Even according to Trump critics, the only thing that could make a difference in the foreseeable outcome of the 2020 election would be a sudden drop in the economy or other factors that would dramatically alter the President’s popularity. However, as Luskin said, since the economy is particularly strong, “it would have to slow a lot to still be not pretty good.”
How Good is The Economy — Really?
Of course, those on the left will argue that the economy isn’t as good as President Trump claims it to be.
However, according to a CBS News article, the economy has grown at its fastest rate in nearly 13 years under President Trump’s watch. The GDP growth was estimated to be around 3% in 2018, which is a benchmark for success. In addition, employers created some 2.4 million jobs in 2018, which is on pace for the strongest hiring increase since 2015. Wages also increased 3.2% from a year ago. This number among non-managers rose even more by 3.4%.
These numbers represent the most rapid increase in wage growth in almost a decade and is a good sign that the economic health enjoyed by the top tier of the economic ladder is trickling down to lower-skilled and lower-wage workers.
The economy is booming, the country prosperous and the future looks bright for President Trump’s upcoming election in 2020. Of course, things can change and there is no way to know or foresee the future for sure. However, according to the experts who are highly skilled at creating models for predicting election outcomes, Trump is looking at an easy victory if he holds serve until 2020.
For those who support President Trump and hope to see him reelected, this is great news.
~ Patriotic Freedom Fighter